Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.352058 15.251744 17.288064 19.628789 22.240535 25.060395 28.330591
2024-10-20 10.031500 12.469723 15.273730 18.720198 22.824374 27.536645 33.336686
2024-10-27 7.639310 10.286402 13.537431 17.786494 23.151634 29.655686 38.086293
2024-11-03 6.508272 9.422218 13.218292 18.455781 25.413316 34.247952 46.208915
2024-11-10 5.937933 9.176673 13.623669 20.058169 28.989753 40.788916 57.361041
2024-11-17 5.247358 8.640928 13.542519 20.962465 31.694705 46.401662 67.764423
2024-11-24 4.441708 7.795740 12.890479 20.952345 33.087470 50.310724 76.139515
2024-12-01 3.665564 6.859300 11.960005 20.390492 33.581020 52.943169 82.873456
2024-12-08 3.130182 6.221276 11.394088 20.293007 34.714672 56.534822 91.189172
2024-12-15 2.756961 5.796489 11.107534 20.584832 36.439965 61.088715 101.187822
2024-12-22 2.371788 5.281153 10.591730 20.421376 37.391647 64.485727 109.607240
2024-12-29 2.213944 5.173018 10.774416 21.459815 40.387669 71.266030 123.668373
2025-01-05 1.942201 4.800601 10.444116 21.588469 41.913986 75.888673 134.776601
2025-01-12 1.618258 4.256675 9.711858 20.895453 41.941505 78.042967 142.030516
2025-01-19 1.333198 3.739313 8.954179 20.056949 41.614940 79.554866 148.294993
2025-01-26 1.239755 3.651555 9.068061 20.930581 44.503844 86.780053 164.617261
2025-02-02 1.233599 3.777596 9.653795 22.811130 49.433364 97.879431 188.187532
2025-02-09 1.163588 3.727254 9.843128 23.887165 52.890294 106.544463 207.960990
2025-02-16 1.030256 3.481292 9.554951 23.919122 54.294415 111.562282 221.549001
2025-02-23 0.877145 3.145166 9.005292 23.316701 54.365303 114.106432 230.814550
2025-03-02 0.772658 2.925407 8.702897 23.225824 55.461220 118.615228 243.858427
2025-03-09 0.702091 2.792402 8.596683 23.566558 57.471142 124.956489 260.559550
2025-03-16 0.617026 2.592199 8.286553 23.390989 58.357557 129.157574 273.444513